DISTURBANCE B7 ADVISORY #2
FORCE THIRTEEN HQ MANCHESTER UK
0000 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017
…DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST…
SUMMARY OF 0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION…NEAR 11.0N 33.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1012 MB
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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NO WARNINGS IN EFFECT
FORECAST
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A tropical disturbance is located nearly 700 miles southwest of the Cape Verde islands, and remains small and disorganised. Development of this system is possible over the next few days, with some models predicting a tropical storm to develop at the end of the week.
Next update at 12:00 UTC, July 11
FORECASTER FOY
DISTURBANCE B7 FORECAST ADVISORY #2
FORCE THIRTEEN HQ MANCHESTER UK
0000 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017
No warnings in effect
DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 11.0 N 33.2 W AT 11/0000
PRESENT MOVEMENT W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 10.6N 38.3W
MAX WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 10.4N 40.5W
MAX WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 10.3N 45.1W
MAX WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 10.3N 48.2W
MAX WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 10.8N 57.5W
MAX WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.5N 61.1W
MAX WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.5N 66.8W
MAX WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT
DISTURBANCE B7 LOCATION AND WIND PROBABILITIES ADVISORY #2
FORCE THIRTEEN HQ MANCHESTER UK
0000 UTC TUE JUL 11 2017
DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 11.0 N 33.2 W AT 11/0000
PRESENT MOVEMENT W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
CURRENT POSITION IN RELATION TO NEARBY POPULATION CENTERS:
702 MILES WSW OF PRAIA, CV
1378 MILES ENE OF CAYENNE, FR
1547 MILES ENE OF PARAMARIBO, SR
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES
TAU 34KT 64KT 96KT 136KT
0 0 0 0 0
+12 10 0 0 0
+24 15 0 0 0
+36 15 0 0 0
+48 20 0 0 0
+72 30 0 0 0
+96 40 5 0 0
+120 45 5 0 0
